Blood Test Predicts our Time of Death

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By lobonorth

Coming to the UK soon is a blood test that will tell Brits their best before dates. And before long, we will all be able to know when we are destined for our date with death or, more mundanely, date of death! The blood test that makes the prediction measures something called telomeres. (Telomeres are a DNA structure that controls the longevity of dividing cells.) The specific test developed by the Spanish determines the speed that we are aging by the length of our telomere – the shorter it is, the more quickly we are aging. Our physical age is not necessarily the same as our chronological one; our blood might reveal that our bodies have matured faster than we would have liked or, perhaps, happily, it may reveal our bodies are more youthful than our years! The test reveals our physical age and will cost just over $700 – and there is bound to be a market for it.

The only reason that it's not already available in the US is because the Spanish group that developed the test is still seeking approval in countries in both Europe and North America. However, the news that the test is available has already sparked lively debate prior to its arrival.

Death and the Maiden is a common motif in Renaissance art. It developed from the Dance of Death. The new element was an erotic subtext.  Hans Schwarz (Augsburg, c. 1492/93 - after 1532(?)): Death and the Maiden. Augsburg, c. 1520. Boxwood.
See all 3 photos
Death and the Maiden is a common motif in Renaissance art. It developed from the Dance of Death. The new element was an erotic subtext. Hans Schwarz (Augsburg, c. 1492/93 - after 1532(?)): Death and the Maiden. Augsburg, c. 1520. Boxwood.
Source: Till Niermann

Not everyone greets new discoveries in medicine with applause, and this is one of those advances that is not without its critics. There are a number of ethical questions. For instance, what about insurance companies? If they either knew of our results or were able to insist on having a test, both life and health premiums could be affected dramatically unless they are prohibited by legislation.

And the prediction of death at an early age might actually hasten the day if we are unfortunate enough to process this news through a pessimistic and fatalistic prism. We might decide to have those extra drinks, cigarettes or french fries because, well, “What the hell, I'm going to die early anyway.” Or the news might fill us with feelings of despondency and our days will be filled with gloom until our early graves.

This work is linked to Revelation 6:8 "The Lamb of God opens the seven seals of a book "written within and on the backside". After the opening of the fourth seal, Death rides into the world. He is the fourth knight of the apocalypse. Hell follows him
This work is linked to Revelation 6:8 "The Lamb of God opens the seven seals of a book "written within and on the backside". After the opening of the fourth seal, Death rides into the world. He is the fourth knight of the apocalypse. Hell follows him
Source: Gustave Dor (18321883)
All good things come to an end: the charnel house at Saint Catherines Church in Oppenheim, Germany
All good things come to an end: the charnel house at Saint Catherines Church in Oppenheim, Germany
Source: Transferred from de.wikipedia; transferred to Commons by User:Kelisi using CommonsHelper.

On the other hand, knowing the time of our approximate death will have many advantages in financial matters, for instance. I might decide I can forgo any financial planning and saving for my retirement if the test reveals I will probably die early, (although I might find it difficult to buy life insurance as a result of the test!)

Others have pointed out, the blood test might persuade some of us to make dramatic changes in our lifestyles in order to mitigate some of those factors that accounted for the results. A study published in 2008 in The Lancet showed that major lifestyle changes could prevent premature cell death and extend life.

Knowing our physiological age before a disease appears does give us a chance to adjust our lifestyles. And there is encouraging news, particularly as a result of a study of a number of men identified with a low-risk prostate cancer. After three months of learning techniques to deal with stress, proper diet, exercise and all those other well known but rarely practiced canards for healthy living, the researchers found that telomeres in the subjects had increased by 29% and their bad cholesterol had decreased! However, some could make the case that we should not need warnings of premature death to persuade us to live more healthy lifestyles.

Whether we take the test or not when it becomes available, it does seem that we have a real choice in deciding how long we will live. If we make all the healthy lifestyle decisions, we will live longer – possibly a great deal longer than if we do not. And this advise is a lot cheaper than 700 bucks!

Comments

Seeker7 profile image

Seeker7 Level 8 Commenter 12 months ago

Hi Lobo.

Fascinating Hub - the argument over the 'ethics' is also interesting. On the pessimistic side, I think if insurance companies find out a way to save or make money with this, then they'll be the first to do it.

I also wondered if there was any error margin with these tests. The reason I ask is that a couple of years back there were women who were diagnosed with cervical cancer, but this turned out to be a mistake. And two women who did have cervical cancer were not caught in time and went onto to develop other tumours - fortunately both came through it ok. So I wondered, if there is a margin of error with the blood test, the consequences of a mistake could be traumatic for the people concerned.

I'm not sure either I would want to pay £300+ to know when I'm going to meet the grim reaper. I'd rather spend my cash on trying to improve what I can in life.

lobonorth profile image

lobonorth Hub Author 12 months ago

Hi Seeker7 - thanks for all of your feedback and I think that you are right on all points. Money will drive a lot of this for benefits that seem quite questionable to the average Joe - it doesn't diagnose any specific illness and the response to results that suggest you are aging prematurely is to live better!

Fascinating science though!

Stay Well

Alastar Packer profile image

Alastar Packer Level 8 Commenter 12 months ago

Agree with Seeker7, very interesting Hub. Good write lobonorth. I'll bet though there are plenty of 90 somethings with short telomeres. Wonder how many will be lining up in the U.K. for the test? Keep us updated if you will.

lobonorth profile image

lobonorth Hub Author 12 months ago

Thanks for your thoughts Alastar and I will try and include an afterword as I often try and include updates on topics that I find interesting. Sometimes the topics seem quite odd but it is the ethical and other questions that come attached to them that often holds the interest I suspect.

novascotiamiss profile image

novascotiamiss Level 3 Commenter 12 months ago

Lobonorth, thanks for an interesting hub about a controversial issue. Isn't it amazing how man has evolved almost to a god like creature? Soon we will be able to affect and orchestrate just about anything on our planet. The only thing we can't stop is our own downfall. I especially loved your final comment that we can save ourselves the 700 bucks by making healthy lifestyle decisions. How true! I totally agree with you that many people getting bad news would further abuse their body and eat, drink and smoke themselves to death. That's mankind. Scientists should rather invent something that makes us less stupid!I would definitely invest 700 bucks in that.

lobonorth profile image

lobonorth Hub Author 12 months ago

Thanks novascotiamiss and I think you make a good juxtaposition. The more knowledge we accumulate: The more the planet's lifeforms are put in peril.

And as for something that is meant to make us less stupid, it doesn't appear to be education. Do most of us really want to be less stupid? Carlin and Maher, two of the best comedians frequently were and are quite insulting about the ignorance of most folk.

novascotiamiss profile image

novascotiamiss Level 3 Commenter 12 months ago

Lobonorth, I just learnt a new word "juxtaposition".

lobonorth profile image

lobonorth Hub Author 12 months ago

novascotiamiss, I should have thought more since it is more of an inverse ratio than than a juxtaposition, although a juxtaposition none the less. A useful word that I have the kind of affection for as I do for anything that I apply with some relish.

Perhaps the real problem was that we developed more and more inventions that required greater and greater wisdom to manage wisely - and we haven't matured too much in our ability to make sage decisions.

quester.ltd profile image

quester.ltd 12 months ago

Sage - interesting use of an old word. Man only thinks he has become 'God-like' - and it isn't where all the Babel came from in the first place. Until we respect all life, we will always be in trouble, no matter how long we live.

voted up

q

lobonorth profile image

lobonorth Hub Author 11 months ago

Thanks quester.ltd, I think that all of us want to be treated with respect and dignity and it is only reasonable to try and model the behavior we would most like to see around us. It is a puzzle that we are not better at respecting all life and it can only be a sad reflection on ourselves as you suggest.

Stay well,

Sem

Eiddwen profile image

Eiddwen 10 months ago

Very interesting.

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